UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs Aldo

2,178

CageRank

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
68% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

2,308

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.6 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Harder to hit 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Longer reach 184 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Aldo Pettis
Significant Strikes52
Aldo's good striking offense won't be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pettis Aldo
Significant Strikes50
Pettis's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Pettis 8.6
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter Pettis 8.0
Great takedowns by Pettis
6 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Stephens
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Henderson
2 takedowns Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Pettis 8.3
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Pettis 8.4
Great submissions by Pettis
Round 1 Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 3 Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Karalexis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Pettis 9.3
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Pettis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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