UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs Poirier

2,178

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Pettis

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
67% chance Pettis
WILL WIN

2,052

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Dustin Poirier
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 28 years vs 30 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Poirier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 10:02, how much damage will he do? Pettis Poirier
Significant Strikes52
Pettis's average striking offense is matched by Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:02
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense is matched by Poirier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:02
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Poirier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Poirier
In 10:02, how much damage will he do? Poirier Pettis
Significant Strikes41
Poirier's excellent striking offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 90 Significant Strikes in 10:02
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Poirier's average takedown offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:02
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Poirier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Poirier is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Poirier is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pettis 8.6
fighter Poirier 9.1
Great striking by Poirier
44 strikes Dec 28, 2013 vs Brandao
54 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Koch
77 strikes Jan 01, 2011 vs Grispi

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.0
fighter Poirier 8.0
Great takedowns by Poirier
2 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Koch
1 takedown Nov 12, 2011 vs Garza
5 takedowns Jun 11, 2011 vs Young

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pettis 8.3
fighter Poirier 8.1
Great knockouts by Pettis
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
Round 1 Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Castillo

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.4
fighter Poirier 7.9
Great submissions by Pettis
Round 1 Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 3 Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Karalexis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pettis 9.3
fighter Poirier 8.7
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pettis
legend Poirier
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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