UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs Cerrone

2,178

CageRank

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
54% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,206

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 30 years vs 34 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 10:57, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Pettis
Significant Strikes42
Cerrone's excellent striking offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:57
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 10:57, how much damage will he do? Pettis Cerrone
Significant Strikes57
Pettis's average striking offense is matched by Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:57
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Pettis 8.6
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Pettis 8.0
Great takedowns by Pettis
6 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Stephens
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Henderson
2 takedowns Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Pettis 8.3
Great knockouts by Pettis
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
Round 1 Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Castillo

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Pettis 8.4
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Pettis 9.3
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 26, 2013UFC on Fox 6
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XDEC
2,0432,109
2,1022,049
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Pettis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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