UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs Ferguson

2,178

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Pettis

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Pettis
WILL WIN

1,986

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Tony Ferguson
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 184 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferguson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 8:17, how much damage will he do? Pettis Ferguson
Significant Strikes40
Pettis's average striking offense is matched by Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:17
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Ferguson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Ferguson
In 8:17, how much damage will he do? Ferguson Pettis
Significant Strikes25
Ferguson's good striking offense won't be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:17
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Ferguson's average takedown offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferguson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ferguson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ferguson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pettis 8.6
fighter Ferguson 8.6
Great striking by Ferguson
5 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
61 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Edwards
31 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.0
fighter Ferguson 8.1
Great takedowns by Ferguson
1 takedown Dec 03, 2011 vs Edwards
2 takedowns Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pettis 8.3
fighter Ferguson 8.8
Great knockouts by Ferguson
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem
Round 4 Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.4
fighter Ferguson 7.2
Great submissions by Pettis
Round 1 Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 3 Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Karalexis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pettis 9.3
fighter Ferguson 8.8
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 6, 2018UFC 229
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pettis
legend Ferguson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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