UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs Melendez

2,178

CageRank

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
59% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

2,243

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.5 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 30 years vs 34 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Pettis
Significant Strikes68
Melendez's excellent striking offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Melendez's good takedown offense may be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pettis Melendez
Significant Strikes58
Pettis's average striking offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Pettis 8.6
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Pettis 8.0
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Pettis 8.3
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Pettis 8.4
Great submissions by Pettis
Round 1 Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 3 Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Karalexis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Pettis 9.3
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 6, 2014UFC 181
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Pettis
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Melendez vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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