UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs Nurmagomedov

2,178

CageRank

WINNER
Nurmagomedov

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
52% chance Nurmagomedov
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Khabib Nurmagomedov
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Significantly harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 184 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly better submission defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Nurmagomedov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Khabib
Nurmagomedov
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Nurmagomedov Pettis
Significant Strikes46
Nurmagomedov's good striking offense won't be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Nurmagomedov's good takedown offense may be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Nurmagomedov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nurmagomedov has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nurmagomedov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pettis Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes60
Pettis's average striking offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nurmagomedov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.6
fighter Pettis 8.6
Great striking by Nurmagomedov
54 strikes Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
22 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Tavares
25 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Tibau

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 9.0
fighter Pettis 8.0
Great takedowns by Nurmagomedov
5 takedowns Sep 21, 2013 vs Healy
21 takedowns May 25, 2013 vs Trujillo
3 takedowns Jan 20, 2012 vs Shalorus

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.7
fighter Pettis 8.3
Great knockouts by Pettis
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
Round 1 Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Castillo

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nurmagomedov 7.8
fighter Pettis 8.4
Great submissions by Pettis
Round 1 Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 3 Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Karalexis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nurmagomedov 8.4
fighter Pettis 9.3
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nurmagomedov
legend Pettis
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Nurmagomedov vs McGregor
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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