UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs Holloway

2,178

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Pettis

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Pettis
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.8 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better takedown defense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 184 cm vs 177 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Max Holloway
Younger 25 years vs 30 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holloway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 8:13, how much damage will he do? Pettis Holloway
Significant Strikes43
Pettis's average striking offense is matched by Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:13
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Pettis's average takedown offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Holloway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Max
Holloway
In 8:13, how much damage will he do? Holloway Pettis
Significant Strikes24
Holloway's average striking offense won't be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:13
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Holloway's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:13
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holloway is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Holloway is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Holloway is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pettis 8.6
fighter Holloway 8.6
Great striking by Holloway
120 strikes Dec 29, 2012 vs Garcia
29 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Lawrence
118 strikes Jun 01, 2012 vs Schilling

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.0
fighter Holloway 7.5
Great takedowns by Pettis
6 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Stephens
2 takedowns Dec 16, 2010 vs Henderson
2 takedowns Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pettis 8.3
fighter Holloway 7.9
Great knockouts by Pettis
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
Round 1 Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Round 1 Mar 06, 2010 vs Castillo

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.4
fighter Holloway 6.8
Great submissions by Pettis
Round 1 Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 3 Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Karalexis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pettis 9.3
fighter Holloway 7.3
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 10, 2016UFC 206
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pettis
legend Holloway
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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