UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pettis vs McGregor

2,178

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Pettis

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
69% chance Pettis
WILL WIN

2,038

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anthony Pettis
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.4 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Slightly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Advantages for Conor McGregor
Much heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Pettis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against McGregor’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anthony
Pettis
In 8:15, how much damage will he do? Pettis McGregor
Significant Strikes41
Pettis's average striking offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:15
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pettis's average takedown offense is matched by McGregor's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:15
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pettis has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pettis is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
McGregor on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pettis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Conor
McGregor
In 8:15, how much damage will he do? McGregor Pettis
Significant Strikes25
McGregor's good striking offense won't be a factor against Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:15
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
McGregor's average takedown offense is matched by Pettis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:15
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
McGregor has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
McGregor is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
McGregor is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pettis 8.6
fighter McGregor 8.6
Great striking by McGregor
53 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway
21 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.0
fighter McGregor 8.5
Great takedowns by McGregor
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Holloway

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pettis 8.3
fighter McGregor 9.4
Great knockouts by McGregor
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs Brimage
Round 1 Dec 31, 2012 vs Buchinger
Round 1 Feb 18, 2012 vs O'Keefe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pettis 8.4
fighter McGregor 6.5
Great submissions by Pettis
Round 1 Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 3 Aug 18, 2010 vs Roller
Round 2 Apr 24, 2010 vs Karalexis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pettis 9.3
fighter McGregor 9.2
Fast finishes by Pettis
271 seconds Aug 31, 2013 vs Henderson
155 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Cerrone
81 seconds Feb 26, 2012 vs Lauzon
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pettis
legend McGregor
Read More
Pettis vs Poirier
Fantasy Cage Match
McGregor vs St. Pierre
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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