UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Palhares

2,091

CageRank

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
51% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better submission offense 9.7 vs 6.3 Around 55% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly younger 36 years vs 46 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Dan Henderson
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 6.3 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.5 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.9 vs 8.3 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
A lot taller 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 10:56, how much damage will he do? Palhares Henderson
Significant Strikes22
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:56
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Palhares's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dan
Henderson
In 10:56, how much damage will he do? Henderson Palhares
Significant Strikes55
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:56
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Henderson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Henderson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Palhares 7.5
fighter Henderson 9.0
Great striking by Henderson
77 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Rua
22 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Emelianenko
13 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Sobral

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Palhares 8.3
fighter Henderson 8.1
Great takedowns by Palhares
2 takedowns Aug 27, 2011 vs Miller
1 takedown Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares
7 takedowns Jan 17, 2009 vs Horn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palhares 6.3
fighter Henderson 9.0
Great knockouts by Henderson
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Emelianenko
Round 1 Dec 04, 2010 vs Sobral
Round 2 Jul 11, 2009 vs Bisping

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Henderson 6.3
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Henderson 8.5
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 6, 2008UFC 88
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 KOX
2,0021,879
2,0351,846
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Henderson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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