UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Emelianenko

2,091

CageRank

WINNER
Emelianenko

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
64% chance Emelianenko
WILL WIN

2,189

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fedor Emelianenko
Much better submission offense 8.3 vs 6.3 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier 222 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 40 years vs 46 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Dan Henderson
Significantly stronger jaw 9.9 vs 9.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier hands 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Emelianenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fedor
Emelianenko
In 11:17, how much damage will he do? Emelianenko Henderson
Significant Strikes59
Emelianenko's excellent striking offense will dominate Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:17
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Emelianenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Emelianenko has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Emelianenko is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Emelianenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dan
Henderson
In 11:17, how much damage will he do? Henderson Emelianenko
Significant Strikes38
Henderson's excellent striking offense is matched by Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:17
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Henderson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Emelianenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Emelianenko 9.0
fighter Henderson 9.0
Great striking by Emelianenko
50 strikes Aug 28, 2005 vs Filipovic
65 strikes Dec 31, 2004 vs Nogueira
79 strikes Mar 16, 2003 vs Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.0
fighter Henderson 8.1
Great takedowns by Henderson
1 takedown Nov 19, 2011 vs Rua
4 takedowns Jan 17, 2009 vs Franklin
3 takedowns Feb 24, 2007 vs Silva

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Emelianenko 8.5
fighter Henderson 9.0
Great knockouts by Henderson
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Emelianenko
Round 1 Dec 04, 2010 vs Sobral
Round 2 Jul 11, 2009 vs Bisping

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Emelianenko 8.3
fighter Henderson 6.3
Great submissions by Emelianenko
Round 1 Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
Round 1 Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Round 2 Oct 21, 2006 vs Coleman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Emelianenko 9.5
fighter Henderson 8.5
Fast finishes by Emelianenko
194 seconds Jan 24, 2009 vs Arlovski
36 seconds Jul 19, 2008 vs Sylvia
178 seconds Apr 14, 2007 vs Lindland
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 SUB
2,1712,178
2,2222,127
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Emelianenko
legend Henderson
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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