UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Henderson vs Cormier

2,091

CageRank

WINNER
Cormier

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Cormier
WILL WIN

2,234

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Daniel Cormier
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.3 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 38 years vs 46 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Dan Henderson
Significantly heavier hands 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 9.9 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 188 cm vs 184 cm Almost the same
Cormier on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Henderson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Cormier
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Cormier Henderson
Significant Strikes83
Cormier's excellent striking offense will dominate Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cormier's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Henderson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cormier has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Henderson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cormier’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dan
Henderson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Henderson Cormier
Significant Strikes69
Henderson's excellent striking offense will dominate Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Henderson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cormier's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Henderson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Henderson is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Henderson is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cormier 9.2
fighter Henderson 9.0
Great striking by Cormier
84 strikes May 19, 2012 vs Barnett
15 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
86 strikes Jun 18, 2011 vs Monson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Henderson 8.1
Great takedowns by Cormier
3 takedowns Oct 19, 2013 vs Nelson
4 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
4 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Barnett

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cormier 8.5
fighter Henderson 9.0
Great knockouts by Henderson
Round 1 Jul 30, 2011 vs Emelianenko
Round 1 Dec 04, 2010 vs Sobral
Round 2 Jul 11, 2009 vs Bisping

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cormier 8.0
fighter Henderson 6.3
Great submissions by Cormier
Round 1 Nov 05, 2010 vs Palelei
Round 1 Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Round 1 Aug 13, 2010 vs Johnson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cormier 8.7
fighter Henderson 8.5
Fast finishes by Cormier
542 seconds Jan 12, 2013 vs Staring
236 seconds Sep 10, 2011 vs Silva
62 seconds Aug 21, 2010 vs Riley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 24, 2014UFC 173
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cormier
legend Henderson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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