UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Massenzio vs Palhares

1,601

CageRank

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
95% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better submission offense 9.7 vs 7.3 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 7.5 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 7.3 More than 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Mike Massenzio
A lot taller 188 cm vs 173 cm Around 10% taller
Better striker 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 6.6 vs 6.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 187 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly younger 34 years vs 36 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Massenzio’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 3:19, how much damage will he do? Palhares Massenzio
Significant Strikes10
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Massenzio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 30 Significant Strikes in 3:19
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Palhares's average takedown offense is matched by Massenzio's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:19
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Massenzio on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Massenzio
In 3:19, how much damage will he do? Massenzio Palhares
Significant Strikes8
Massenzio's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 30 Significant Strikes in 3:19
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Massenzio's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:19
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Massenzio is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Massenzio is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Massenzio is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Palhares 7.5
fighter Massenzio 7.8
Great striking by Massenzio
78 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Cantwell

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Palhares 8.3
fighter Massenzio 8.6
Great takedowns by Massenzio
1 takedown Oct 08, 2011 vs Cantwell
1 takedown Sep 17, 2008 vs McFedries

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palhares 6.3
fighter Massenzio 6.6
Great knockouts by Massenzio
Round 2 Apr 29, 2011 vs Kittredge
Round 1 Feb 11, 2006 vs Scott

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Massenzio 7.3
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Massenzio 7.5
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 14, 2012UFC 142
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,7892,040
1,7702,059
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Massenzio
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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