UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bader vs Matyushenko

2,073

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Bader

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
75% chance Bader
WILL WIN

1,882

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ryan Bader
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly younger 35 years vs 47 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Vladimir Matyushenko
Heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Slightly better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Bader on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Matyushenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
Bader
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bader Matyushenko
Significant Strikes75
Bader's good striking offense may be a factor against Matyushenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Bader's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Matyushenko's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bader is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bader is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bader has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Matyushenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bader’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vladimir
Matyushenko
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Matyushenko Bader
Significant Strikes38
Matyushenko's average striking offense won't be a factor against Bader's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Matyushenko's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bader's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Matyushenko is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Matyushenko is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Matyushenko is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bader 8.7
fighter Matyushenko 8.4
Great striking by Bader
3 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Matyushenko
55 strikes Feb 26, 2012 vs Jackson
42 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Rogerio Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Bader 8.7
fighter Matyushenko 8.4
Great takedowns by Bader
3 takedowns Dec 07, 2013 vs Perosh
4 takedowns Feb 26, 2012 vs Jackson
5 takedowns Sep 25, 2010 vs Rogerio Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bader 7.6
fighter Matyushenko 7.8
Great knockouts by Matyushenko
Round 1 Apr 30, 2011 vs Brilz
Round 1 Nov 13, 2010 vs Ferreira
Round 1 Nov 22, 2002 vs Wiuff

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bader 7.4
fighter Matyushenko 6.8
Great submissions by Bader
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Matyushenko
Round 1 Apr 05, 2008 vs Acosta
Round 1 May 12, 2007 vs Baggett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bader 8.1
fighter Matyushenko 8.0
Fast finishes by Bader
50 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Matyushenko
77 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Brilz
730 seconds Feb 20, 2010 vs Jardine
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 26, 2013UFC on Fox 6
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,9811,991
2,0331,940
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bader
legend Matyushenko
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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