UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldo vs Rousey

2,308

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
79% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 178 cm vs 168 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 6.6 More than 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 8.7 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 7.9 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 10:08, how much damage will he do? Aldo Rousey
Significant Strikes56
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:08
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aldo's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:08
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 10:08, how much damage will she do? Rousey Aldo
Significant Strikes32
Rousey's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:08
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Rousey's excellent takedown offense is matched by Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:08
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Rousey 8.5
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter Rousey 9.4
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Rousey 7.4
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Rousey 9.3
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Rousey 9.9
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Rousey
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 2 comments.
Rousey sería desmantelar y destory aldo en una ronda. Si no es un golpe de gracia a continuación, una presentación .
Vittoria di Aldo all'inizio del primo round. Ronda rischierebbe di essere uccisa...
comments powered by Disqus