UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldo vs dos Anjos

2,308

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
73% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

2,132

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.0 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Slightly younger 30 years vs 32 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Rafael dos Anjos
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Anjos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Aldo dos Anjos
Significant Strikes65
Aldo's good striking offense is matched by dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aldo's average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Anjos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
dos Anjos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
dos Anjos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? dos Anjos Aldo
Significant Strikes48
dos Anjos's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
dos Anjos's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Anjos is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Anjos has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter dos Anjos 8.5
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter dos Anjos 8.8
Great takedowns by dos Anjos
2 takedowns Aug 28, 2013 vs Cerrone
4 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Bocek
2 takedowns Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter dos Anjos 7.1
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter dos Anjos 7.7
Great submissions by dos Anjos
Round 1 May 15, 2012 vs Shalorus
Round 2 Apr 10, 2010 vs Etim
Round 2 Aug 04, 2007 vs Cherman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter dos Anjos 8.0
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend dos Anjos
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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