UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldo vs Harris

2,308

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
97% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

1,695

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 6.3 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.1 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.0 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.1 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 144 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 170 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 30 years vs 34 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Phil Harris
Significantly better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Harris’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 6:57, how much damage will he do? Aldo Harris
Significant Strikes40
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Harris's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 63 Significant Strikes in 6:57
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Harris's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Harris on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Phil
Harris
In 6:57, how much damage will he do? Harris Aldo
Significant Strikes19
Harris's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 63 Significant Strikes in 6:57
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Harris's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 6:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Harris is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Harris is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Harris is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Harris 8.3
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter Harris 8.3
Great takedowns by Harris
1 takedown Feb 16, 2013 vs Gomez

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Harris 6.3
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Harris 7.0
Great submissions by Harris
Round 1 Feb 23, 2012 vs Morvan
Round 1 Feb 20, 2005 vs Moore
Round 2 Nov 30, 2003 vs Milward

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Harris 7.1
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 17, 2005UK-1 - Fight Night
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,6931,742
1,7501,685
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Harris
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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