Jose Aldo Scarface 26-3

Weight 144 lbs
Height 5' 7"
Reach 70"
Age 30

Kenny Florian 15-6 KenFlo

144 lbs
5' 10"
74"
41

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldo vs Florian

CageRank

WINNER

81% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

CageRank

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Jose Aldo

Much heavier hands	8.8	vs	7.2	More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger	30 years	vs	41 years	More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better takedown defense	9.5	vs	8.7	Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker	8.9	vs	8.5	Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense	9.5	vs	8.9	More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes	8.7	vs	8.5	Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight	9.6	vs	9.4	Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds

Advantages for Kenny Florian

Much better submission offense	8.8	vs	6.6	Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense	9.0	vs	7.9	Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach	188 cm	vs	178 cm	More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller	178 cm	vs	170 cm	Around 5% taller
Harder to hit	9.4	vs	9.2	Almost the same

Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Florian’s defensive skills

Predictions For Jose Aldo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Aldo		Florian
Significant Strikes53 Aldo's good striking offense won't be a factor against Florian's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Good Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Florian's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Average Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Aldo is unlikely to win by submission	Poor Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Aldo has a good chance of winning by decision	Excellent Scoring ability	vs	Good Scoring ability

Florian on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills

Predictions For Kenny Florian
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Florian		Aldo
Significant Strikes49 Florian's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Average Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Florian's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Good Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Florian is unlikely to win by knockout	Average Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Florian has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Florian is unlikely to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability