CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Aldo vs Florian
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much heavier hands | 8.8 | vs | 7.2 | More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders |
Significantly better takedown defense | 9.5 | vs | 8.7 | Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down |
Significantly younger | 31 years | vs | 41 years | Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Significantly better striker | 8.9 | vs | 8.5 | Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Better submission defense | 9.5 | vs | 8.9 | More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Fast finishes | 8.7 | vs | 8.5 | Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Puts up a fight | 9.6 | vs | 9.4 | Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Advantages for Kenny Florian
Much better submission offense | 8.8 | vs | 6.6 | Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Much stronger takedown offense | 9.0 | vs | 7.9 | Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Significantly longer reach | 188 cm | vs | 178 cm | More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance |
A lot taller | 178 cm | vs | 170 cm | Around 5% taller |
Harder to hit | 9.4 | vs | 9.2 | Almost the same |
Aldo on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Florian’s defensive skills
Predictions For Jose Aldo |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Aldo | Florian | |
Significant Strikes53
Aldo's good striking offense won't be a factor against Florian's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Good
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Florian's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission |
Poor
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Aldo has a good chance of winning by decision |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Good
Scoring ability
|
Florian on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For Kenny Florian |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Florian | Aldo | |
Significant Strikes49
Florian's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Florian's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Good
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Florian is unlikely to win by knockout |
Average
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Florian has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Florian is unlikely to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes | Feb 02, 2013 | vs Edgar |
51 strikes | Oct 08, 2011 | vs Florian |
38 strikes | Nov 18, 2009 | vs Thomas Brown |
takedowns
Who's going to take it to the ground?Great takedowns by Florian
1 takedown | Mar 31, 2010 | vs Gomi |
1 takedown | Nov 15, 2008 | vs Stevenson |
5 takedowns | Aug 09, 2008 | vs Huerta |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 | Jan 14, 2012 | vs Mendes |
Round 2 | Nov 18, 2009 | vs Thomas Brown |
Round 1 | Jun 07, 2009 | vs Swanson |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Florian
Round 3 | Mar 31, 2010 | vs Gomi |
Round 1 | Nov 15, 2008 | vs Stevenson |
Round 1 | Sep 19, 2007 | vs Thomas |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds | Jan 14, 2012 | vs Mendes |
380 seconds | Nov 18, 2009 | vs Thomas Brown |
8 seconds | Jun 07, 2009 | vs Swanson |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?