UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldo vs Gamburyan

2,308

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
92% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

1,881

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.0 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 30 years vs 36 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 170 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Manny Gamburyan
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.9 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gamburyan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Aldo Gamburyan
Significant Strikes77
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Gamburyan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aldo's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gamburyan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Gamburyan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Manny
Gamburyan
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Gamburyan Aldo
Significant Strikes36
Gamburyan's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Gamburyan's excellent takedown offense is matched by Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gamburyan is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gamburyan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gamburyan is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Gamburyan 8.1
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter Gamburyan 9.2
Great takedowns by Gamburyan
5 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Miller
6 takedowns Aug 04, 2012 vs Omigawa
7 takedowns Nov 18, 2009 vs Garcia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Gamburyan 7.0
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Gamburyan 7.5
Great submissions by Gamburyan
Round 1 Apr 02, 2008 vs Cox
Round 1 Dec 29, 2007 vs Mohr
Round 1 Jan 05, 2001 vs Benson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Gamburyan 7.9
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 30, 2010WEC 51
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R2 KOX
2,1191,906
2,1421,884
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Gamburyan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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