UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldo vs Dillashaw

2,308

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
86% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

1,994

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for T.J. Dillashaw
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.9 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.6 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dillashaw’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 9:44, how much damage will he do? Aldo Dillashaw
Significant Strikes50
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:44
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aldo's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Dillashaw's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Dillashaw on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Dillashaw
In 9:44, how much damage will he do? Dillashaw Aldo
Significant Strikes35
Dillashaw's good striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:44
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Dillashaw's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:44
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dillashaw has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dillashaw is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Dillashaw 8.7
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter Dillashaw 9.1
Great takedowns by Dillashaw
2 takedowns Jan 15, 2014 vs Easton
1 takedown Apr 20, 2013 vs Viana
2 takedowns Mar 16, 2013 vs Tamura

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Dillashaw 8.2
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Dillashaw 7.5
Great submissions by Dillashaw
Round 1 Jul 11, 2012 vs Lee
Round 1 Oct 02, 2010 vs Suarez
Round 1 May 22, 2010 vs Drucker

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Dillashaw 8.1
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Dillashaw
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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