UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldo vs Thomas Brown

2,308

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
91% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

1,912

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.3 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly younger 30 years vs 41 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Mike Thomas Brown
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Thomas Brown’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 10:44, how much damage will he do? Aldo Thomas Brown
Significant Strikes57
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Thomas Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:44
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aldo's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Thomas Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Thomas Brown on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Thomas Brown
In 10:44, how much damage will he do? Thomas Brown Aldo
Significant Strikes35
Thomas Brown's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 97 Significant Strikes in 10:44
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Thomas Brown's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:44
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Thomas Brown is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Thomas Brown is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Thomas Brown is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Thomas Brown 8.5
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter Thomas Brown 8.3
Great takedowns by Thomas Brown
2 takedowns May 26, 2012 vs Pineda
9 takedowns Jun 07, 2009 vs Faber
3 takedowns Jun 01, 2008 vs Curran

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Thomas Brown 7.3
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Thomas Brown 7.8
Great submissions by Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jan 10, 2010 vs Morrison
Round 1 Mar 01, 2009 vs Garcia
Round 1 Dec 08, 2007 vs Reyes Jr.

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Thomas Brown 8.2
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 18, 2009WEC 44
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR1 SUB
2,0042,120
2,0702,054
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Thomas Brown
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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