UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldo vs Meller

2,308

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
90% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

1,917

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 30 years vs 35 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Thiago Meller
Much heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Meller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Meller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Meller
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Meller is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Meller has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Meller is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Meller 7.4
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Meller 8.1
Great submissions by Meller
Round 1 Nov 09, 2010 vs Abargel
Round 1 Jul 10, 2010 vs Bradney
Round 1 Apr 18, 2009 vs Lima

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Meller 8.3
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 20, 2006GFC 1
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,7211,750
1,7751,696
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Meller
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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