UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldo vs Azevedo

2,308

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
95% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

1,780

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 5.9 More than 50% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.2 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Luciano Azevedo
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 6.6 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.9 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Azevedo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Aldo Azevedo
Significant Strikes83
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Azevedo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Azevedo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Azevedo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luciano
Azevedo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Azevedo Aldo
Significant Strikes40
Azevedo's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Azevedo's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Azevedo is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Azevedo has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Azevedo is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Azevedo 8.3
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Azevedo 5.9
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Azevedo 8.6
Great submissions by Azevedo
Round 1 Nov 21, 2009 vs Silva
Round 1 Apr 27, 2008 vs Mohamed
Round 2 Nov 26, 2005 vs Aldo

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Azevedo 8.0
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 26, 2005JF 5 - Jungle Fight 5
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
R2 KOX
1,7881,666
1,7211,733
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Azevedo
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Aldo was beten by Luciano rear naked choke and you have aldo ranked higher ?? strange comming of a loss to Luciano.. smacks of crap.
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