UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldo vs Lamas

2,308

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
76% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

2,112

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 30 years vs 34 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Ricardo Lamas
Significantly better submission offense 7.4 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Longer reach 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lamas’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 11:37, how much damage will he do? Aldo Lamas
Significant Strikes53
Aldo's good striking offense is matched by Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:37
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Lamas's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lamas on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ricardo
Lamas
In 11:37, how much damage will he do? Lamas Aldo
Significant Strikes35
Lamas's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:37
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lamas's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:37
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lamas is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lamas is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lamas has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Lamas 8.4
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter Lamas 8.3
Great takedowns by Lamas
2 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Koch
2 takedowns Nov 12, 2011 vs Swanson
4 takedowns Mar 01, 2009 vs Palaszewski

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Lamas 8.0
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Lamas 7.4
Great submissions by Lamas
Round 2 Nov 12, 2011 vs Swanson
Round 4 Apr 26, 2008 vs Ferry
Round 1 Jan 25, 2008 vs Corry

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Lamas 8.1
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 1, 2014UFC 169
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Lamas
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 2 comments.
Lamas has proven himself fight after fight that he deserves a chance to fight Aldo. This fight will prove that Lamas will no longer be the underdog!.... This belt will turn over to Lamas for him to be on top.
Lamas!!! he will finally be the one to take the belt away from aldo. This fight will be a nail bitter but the winner will be Lamas.
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