UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldo vs Perez

2,308

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
97% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

1,674

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 6.9 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 6.6 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.9 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier 144 lbs vs 139 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.1 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Rolando Perez
Longer reach 184 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Perez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 6:19, how much damage will he do? Aldo Perez
Significant Strikes37
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Perez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 57 Significant Strikes in 6:19
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Aldo's average takedown offense is matched by Perez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:19
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Perez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rolando
Perez
In 6:19, how much damage will he do? Perez Aldo
Significant Strikes18
Perez's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 57 Significant Strikes in 6:19
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Perez's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:19
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Perez is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Perez is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Perez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Perez 8.4
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Perez 6.6
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Perez 6.9
Great submissions by Perez
Round 1 Mar 22, 2008 vs Mendoza
Round 1 Oct 21, 2006 vs Fisher
Round 1 Jul 30, 2005 vs Gomez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Perez 6.9
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 25, 2009WEC 38
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
1,9081,634
1,9251,617
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Perez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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