UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Aldo vs Holloway

2,308

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Aldo

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
91% chance Aldo
WILL WIN

1,900

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jose Aldo
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Max Holloway
Much taller 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Younger 25 years vs 31 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Aldo on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Holloway’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jose
Aldo
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Aldo Holloway
Significant Strikes88
Aldo's good striking offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Aldo's average takedown offense may be a factor against Holloway's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Aldo has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Aldo is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Aldo has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Holloway on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Aldo’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Max
Holloway
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Holloway Aldo
Significant Strikes51
Holloway's average striking offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Holloway's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Aldo's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Holloway is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Holloway is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Holloway is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Aldo 8.9
fighter Holloway 8.6
Great striking by Aldo
76 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Edgar
51 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Florian
38 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Aldo 7.9
fighter Holloway 7.5
Great takedowns by Aldo
5 takedowns Aug 03, 2013 vs Sung Jung
5 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Hominick
1 takedown Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Aldo 8.8
fighter Holloway 7.9
Great knockouts by Aldo
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
Round 2 Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Aldo 6.6
fighter Holloway 6.8
Great submissions by Holloway
Round 3 Apr 18, 2015 vs Swanson
Round 3 Apr 26, 2014 vs Fili

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Aldo 8.7
fighter Holloway 7.3
Fast finishes by Aldo
299 seconds Jan 14, 2012 vs Mendes
380 seconds Nov 18, 2009 vs Thomas Brown
8 seconds Jun 07, 2009 vs Swanson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 3, 2017UFC 212
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Aldo
legend Holloway
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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