UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Shields vs Daley

2,188

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Shields

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
73% chance Shields
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jake Shields
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.6 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.3 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 9.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.3 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.7 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 189 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Shields on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jake
Shields
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Shields Daley
Significant Strikes68
Shields's good striking offense may be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Shields's good takedown offense may be a factor against Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shields is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Shields has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shields has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shields’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Daley Shields
Significant Strikes63
Daley's good striking offense is matched by Shields's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Shields's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Shields 8.6
fighter Daley 8.7
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Shields 9.1
fighter Daley 7.6
Great takedowns by Shields
1 takedown Oct 09, 2013 vs Maia
4 takedowns Apr 17, 2010 vs Henderson
1 takedown Jul 26, 2008 vs Thompson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Shields 6.7
fighter Daley 9.5
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Shields 8.0
fighter Daley 6.3
Great submissions by Shields
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Lawler
Round 2 Oct 04, 2008 vs Daley
Round 1 Jul 26, 2008 vs Thompson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Shields 8.3
fighter Daley 8.8
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 4, 2008EliteXC - Heat
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R1 SUBX
2,1181,951
2,1461,923
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Shields
legend Daley
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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