UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Shields vs Pyle

2,188

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Shields

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
63% chance Shields
WILL WIN

2,098

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jake Shields
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.9 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 8.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 39 years vs 42 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Mike Pyle
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Shields on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pyle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jake
Shields
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Shields Pyle
Significant Strikes84
Shields's good striking offense may be a factor against Pyle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Shields's good takedown offense is matched by Pyle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shields is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Shields has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shields has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pyle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shields’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Pyle
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Pyle Shields
Significant Strikes49
Pyle's average striking offense won't be a factor against Shields's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pyle's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Shields's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pyle has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pyle is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pyle is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Shields 8.6
fighter Pyle 8.3
Great striking by Shields
35 strikes Oct 09, 2013 vs Maia
73 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Henderson
17 strikes Jun 06, 2009 vs Lawler

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Shields 9.1
fighter Pyle 7.9
Great takedowns by Shields
1 takedown Oct 09, 2013 vs Maia
4 takedowns Apr 17, 2010 vs Henderson
1 takedown Jul 26, 2008 vs Thompson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Shields 6.7
fighter Pyle 8.1
Great knockouts by Pyle
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Head
Round 1 Jun 08, 2012 vs Neer
Round 1 Mar 03, 2006 vs Machado

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Shields 8.0
fighter Pyle 7.8
Great submissions by Shields
Round 1 Jun 06, 2009 vs Lawler
Round 2 Oct 04, 2008 vs Daley
Round 1 Jul 26, 2008 vs Thompson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Shields 8.3
fighter Pyle 8.5
Fast finishes by Pyle
115 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Head
296 seconds Jun 08, 2012 vs Neer
292 seconds May 18, 2008 vs Hornbuckle
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 10, 2007EliteXC - Renegade
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R1 SUBX
2,0321,871
2,0601,843
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Shields
legend Pyle
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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