UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Li vs Nakamura

1,848

CageRank

WINNER
Nakamura

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
59% chance Nakamura
WILL WIN

1,908

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Keita Nakamura
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.7 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Jingliang Li
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Nakamura on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Li’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Keita
Nakamura
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Nakamura is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Nakamura has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Nakamura is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Li on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nakamura’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jingliang
Li
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Li is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Li is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Li is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Nakamura 7.2
fighter Li 6.8
Great knockouts by Nakamura
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Kim
Round 2 Jun 20, 2010 vs de la Cruz
Round 1 Nov 11, 2007 vs Hanai

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Nakamura 8.1
fighter Li 7.8
Great submissions by Nakamura
Round 1 Dec 24, 2012 vs Suzuki
Round 2 Dec 30, 2010 vs Enomoto
Round 1 Oct 30, 2010 vs Wada

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Nakamura 8.4
fighter Li 7.3
Fast finishes by Nakamura
129 seconds Dec 24, 2012 vs Suzuki
210 seconds Oct 30, 2010 vs Wada
118 seconds Apr 29, 2006 vs Jae Jun
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 26, 2015UFC Fight Night 75
team
VS
team
XR3 SUB
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Nakamura
legend Li
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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