UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Li vs Jin Wen

1,848

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Li

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
79% chance Li
WILL WIN

1,621

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jingliang Li
Significantly better submission defense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Liu Jin Wen
Significantly fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Li on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jin Wen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jingliang
Li
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Li is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Li has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Li has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Jin Wen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Li’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Liu
Jin Wen
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jin Wen is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Jin Wen is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jin Wen is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Li 6.8
fighter Jin Wen 6.7
Great knockouts by Li
Round 2 Jan 28, 2017 vs Nash
Round 1 Jul 08, 2016 vs Zafir
Round 1 Sep 24, 2010 vs Liu

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Li 7.8
fighter Jin Wen 7.8
Great submissions by Jin Wen
Round 1 Nov 25, 2007 vs Shuai Wu
Round 1 Sep 22, 2007 vs Li Mu Jiang
Round 1 Jul 28, 2007 vs Yi Jie

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Li 7.3
fighter Jin Wen 7.8
Fast finishes by Jin Wen
111 seconds Nov 25, 2007 vs Shuai Wu
30 seconds Jul 28, 2007 vs Yi Jie
7 seconds Dec 22, 2006 vs Hong
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 SUB
1,5501,690
1,6191,621
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Li
legend Jin Wen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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