UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs MacDonald

2,102

CageRank

WINNER
MacDonald

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
64% chance MacDonald
WILL WIN

2,198

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rory MacDonald
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much younger 27 years vs 39 years More than 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly longer reach 194 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
MacDonald on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rory
MacDonald
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? MacDonald Maia
Significant Strikes73
MacDonald's excellent striking offense will dominate Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
MacDonald's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
MacDonald has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
MacDonald is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
MacDonald has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against MacDonald’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia MacDonald
Significant Strikes47
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate MacDonald's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter MacDonald 9.1
fighter Maia 8.3
Great striking by MacDonald
46 strikes Jul 27, 2013 vs Ellenberger
116 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Penn
24 strikes Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter MacDonald 8.8
fighter Maia 9.7
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter MacDonald 8.2
fighter Maia 7.2
Great knockouts by MacDonald
Round 2 Apr 21, 2012 vs Mills
Round 1 Aug 06, 2011 vs Pyle
Round 2 Nov 28, 2008 vs French

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter MacDonald 7.5
fighter Maia 8.1
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter MacDonald 8.4
fighter Maia 8.5
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 22, 2014UFC 170
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend MacDonald
legend Maia
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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