UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Brown

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
54% chance Maia
WILL WIN

2,072

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.1 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Matt Brown
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.2 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 36 years vs 39 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Brown’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Brown
Significant Strikes45
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate Brown's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Brown on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Brown
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Brown Maia
Significant Strikes74
Brown's excellent striking offense will dominate Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Brown's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Brown has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Brown is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Brown is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Maia 8.3
fighter Brown 9.1
Great striking by Brown
10 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
40 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
25 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Maia 9.7
fighter Brown 8.1
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Brown 9.3
Great knockouts by Brown
Round 1 Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
Round 2 Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
Round 2 Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Brown 6.8
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Brown 8.5
Fast finishes by Brown
29 seconds Aug 17, 2013 vs Pyle
360 seconds Apr 20, 2013 vs Mein
451 seconds Dec 08, 2012 vs Swick
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 14, 2016UFC 198
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Brown
Read More
Maia vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Brown vs MacDonald
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus