UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs St. Pierre

2,102

CageRank

WINNER
St. Pierre

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
88% chance St. Pierre
WILL WIN

2,455

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Georges St. Pierre
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much longer winning streak 12 fights vs 7 fights More than 70% longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much harder to hit 9.7 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 10.0 vs 9.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 10.0 vs 9.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 36 years vs 39 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Demian Maia
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.6 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
St. Pierre on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Georges
St. Pierre
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? St. Pierre Maia
Significant Strikes80
St. Pierre's excellent striking offense will dominate Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
St. Pierre's excellent takedown offense is matched by Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
St. Pierre has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
St. Pierre is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
St. Pierre has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against St. Pierre’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia St. Pierre
Significant Strikes28
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Maia's excellent takedown offense is matched by St. Pierre's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter St. Pierre 9.3
fighter Maia 8.3
Great striking by St. Pierre
101 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
85 strikes Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields
45 strikes Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 10.0
fighter Maia 9.7
Great takedowns by St. Pierre
3 takedowns Nov 16, 2013 vs Hendricks
7 takedowns Nov 17, 2012 vs Condit
2 takedowns Apr 30, 2011 vs Shields

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter St. Pierre 8.2
fighter Maia 7.2
Great knockouts by St. Pierre
Round 4 Jan 31, 2009 vs Penn
Round 2 Nov 18, 2006 vs Hughes
Round 2 Nov 19, 2005 vs Sherk

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter St. Pierre 7.6
fighter Maia 8.1
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter St. Pierre 8.3
fighter Maia 8.5
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend St. Pierre
legend Maia
Read More
Maia vs Woodley
Fantasy Cage Match
St. Pierre vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus