UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Hyun Kim

2,102

CageRank

WINNER
Hyun Kim

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
56% chance Hyun Kim
WILL WIN

2,147

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dong Hyun Kim
Significantly heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.5 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Hyun Kim on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dong
Hyun Kim
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Hyun Kim Maia
Significant Strikes48
Hyun Kim's average striking offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hyun Kim's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hyun Kim has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hyun Kim is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hyun Kim has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hyun Kim’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Hyun Kim
Significant Strikes44
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Hyun Kim's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate Hyun Kim's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Hyun Kim 8.3
fighter Maia 8.3
Great striking by Hyun Kim
11 strikes Oct 09, 2013 vs Silva
23 strikes Mar 03, 2013 vs Bahadurzada
19 strikes Jan 01, 2011 vs Diaz

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Hyun Kim 8.9
fighter Maia 9.7
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Hyun Kim 8.3
fighter Maia 7.2
Great knockouts by Hyun Kim
Round 2 Oct 09, 2013 vs Silva
Round 3 May 24, 2008 vs Tan
Round 3 Aug 05, 2007 vs Hasegawa

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Hyun Kim 6.5
fighter Maia 8.1
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Hyun Kim 7.6
fighter Maia 8.5
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 7, 2012UFC 148
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
2,0081,998
2,0571,950
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Hyun Kim
legend Maia
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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