UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Koscheck

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
67% chance Maia
WILL WIN

1,979

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.9 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better takedown defense 9.7 vs 9.6 Almost the same
Slightly better striker 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Josh Koscheck
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Koscheck’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Koscheck
Significant Strikes47
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Maia's excellent takedown offense is matched by Koscheck's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Koscheck on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Koscheck
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Koscheck Maia
Significant Strikes44
Koscheck's average striking offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Koscheck's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Koscheck is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Koscheck is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Koscheck has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Maia 8.3
fighter Koscheck 8.2
Great striking by Maia
12 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
24 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
6 strikes Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Maia 9.7
fighter Koscheck 8.9
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Koscheck 7.9
Great knockouts by Koscheck
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Hughes
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Trigg
Round 1 Dec 10, 2008 vs Yoshida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Koscheck 7.5
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Koscheck 8.2
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Koscheck
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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