UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Herman

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
66% chance Maia
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Advantages for Ed Herman
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 37 years vs 40 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Herman
Significant Strikes65
Maia's average striking offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Herman Maia
Significant Strikes54
Herman's average striking offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Herman's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Maia 8.3
fighter Herman 8.5
Great striking by Herman
2 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
71 strikes Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
43 strikes Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Maia 9.7
fighter Herman 8.5
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Herman 7.3
Great knockouts by Herman
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Credeur
Round 3 Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen
Round 1 Jul 23, 2005 vs Menne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Herman 8.1
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Herman 8.1
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 19, 2008UFC 83
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XR1 SUB
1,8801,949
1,9401,889
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Herman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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