UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Werdum

2,102

CageRank

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
63% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier 242 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 45% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 8.5 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% taller
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Werdum Maia
Significant Strikes73
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Werdum
Significant Strikes40
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Maia's excellent takedown offense is matched by Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Maia 8.3
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Maia 9.7
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Maia 7.2
Great knockouts by Werdum
Round 1 Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
Round 1 Jun 07, 2008 vs Vera
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Gonzaga

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Maia 8.1
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Maia 8.5
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Maia
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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