UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Fitch

2,102

CageRank

WINNER
Fitch

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
52% chance Fitch
WILL WIN

2,119

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Fitch
Significantly harder to hit 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Advantages for Demian Maia
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer winning streak 6 fights vs 3 fights 2x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Fitch on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Fitch
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Fitch Maia
Significant Strikes45
Fitch's average striking offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Fitch's excellent takedown offense is matched by Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fitch is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fitch is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fitch has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fitch’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Fitch
Significant Strikes35
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Fitch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate Fitch's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Fitch 8.3
fighter Maia 8.3
Great striking by Maia
12 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
24 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
6 strikes Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Fitch 9.3
fighter Maia 9.7
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Fitch 6.8
fighter Maia 7.2
Great knockouts by Maia
Round 1 Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 May 19, 2007 vs Stout
Round 1 Sep 21, 2001 vs Sosa

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Fitch 7.2
fighter Maia 8.1
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Fitch 7.2
fighter Maia 8.5
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 2, 2013UFC 156
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XDEC
2,0982,168
2,1582,108
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Fitch
legend Maia
Read More
Maia vs Penn
Fantasy Cage Match
Fitch vs Hughes
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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