UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Davis

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
53% chance Maia
WILL WIN

2,079

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Significantly better takedown defense 9.7 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Phil Davis
Significantly longer reach 201 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.5 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier 205 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 33 years vs 40 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Davis’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Davis
Significant Strikes34
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Davis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate Davis's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Davis on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Phil
Davis
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Davis Maia
Significant Strikes61
Davis's good striking offense is matched by Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Davis's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Davis is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Davis is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Davis has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Maia 8.3
fighter Davis 8.7
Great striking by Davis
21 strikes Aug 03, 2013 vs Machida
42 strikes Mar 26, 2011 vs Rogerio Nogueira
33 strikes Nov 20, 2010 vs Boetsch

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Maia 9.7
fighter Davis 9.1
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Davis 7.1
Great knockouts by Maia
Round 1 Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 May 19, 2007 vs Stout
Round 1 Sep 21, 2001 vs Sosa

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Davis 7.7
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Davis 8.0
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Davis
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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