UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Pyle

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
51% chance Maia
WILL WIN

2,098

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 7.9 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.7 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.8 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 40 years vs 42 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Mike Pyle
Significantly heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pyle’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 11:12, how much damage will he do? Maia Pyle
Significant Strikes54
Maia's average striking offense may be a factor against Pyle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:12
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate Pyle's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:12
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Pyle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Pyle
In 11:12, how much damage will he do? Pyle Maia
Significant Strikes36
Pyle's average striking offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 101 Significant Strikes in 11:12
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Pyle's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:12
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pyle has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Pyle is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pyle is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Maia 8.3
fighter Pyle 8.3
Great striking by Pyle
18 strikes Jun 08, 2012 vs Neer
36 strikes Mar 19, 2011 vs Almeida
46 strikes Oct 16, 2010 vs Hathaway

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Maia 9.7
fighter Pyle 7.9
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Pyle 8.1
Great knockouts by Pyle
Round 1 Dec 15, 2012 vs Head
Round 1 Jun 08, 2012 vs Neer
Round 1 Mar 03, 2006 vs Machado

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Pyle 7.8
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Pyle 8.5
Fast finishes by Pyle
115 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Head
296 seconds Jun 08, 2012 vs Neer
292 seconds May 18, 2008 vs Hornbuckle
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Pyle
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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