UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Munoz

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
66% chance Maia
WILL WIN

1,984

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.5 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Mark Munoz
Much heavier hands 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Munoz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Munoz
Significant Strikes45
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Munoz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate Munoz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Munoz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Munoz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Munoz Maia
Significant Strikes56
Munoz's average striking offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Munoz's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Munoz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Munoz is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Munoz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Maia 8.3
fighter Munoz 8.6
Great striking by Munoz
69 strikes Jul 06, 2013 vs Boetsch
39 strikes Nov 05, 2011 vs Leben
44 strikes Jun 11, 2011 vs Maia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Maia 9.7
fighter Munoz 8.8
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Munoz 8.1
Great knockouts by Munoz
Round 2 Nov 05, 2011 vs Leben
Round 1 Mar 03, 2011 vs Dollaway
Round 2 Apr 10, 2010 vs Grove

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Munoz 6.8
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Munoz 8.1
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 11, 2011UFC 131
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
2,0971,955
2,0272,024
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Munoz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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