UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs LaFlare

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
62% chance Maia
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.2 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.2 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.5 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Advantages for Ryan LaFlare
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against LaFlare’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 10:13, how much damage will he do? Maia LaFlare
Significant Strikes37
Maia's average striking offense is matched by LaFlare's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:13
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate LaFlare's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:13
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
LaFlare on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ryan
LaFlare
In 10:13, how much damage will he do? LaFlare Maia
Significant Strikes37
LaFlare's average striking offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:13
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
LaFlare's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:13
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
LaFlare is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
LaFlare is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
LaFlare has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Maia 8.3
fighter LaFlare 8.6
Great striking by LaFlare
68 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McGee
75 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Ponzinibbio
37 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs Alloway

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Maia 9.7
fighter LaFlare 9.1
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter LaFlare 7.7
Great knockouts by LaFlare
Round 1 Jun 11, 2010 vs Medrano
Round 2 Feb 19, 2010 vs Haskins
Round 1 Nov 20, 2009 vs Berrocal

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter LaFlare 7.4
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter LaFlare 7.9
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 21, 2015UFC Fight Night 62
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend LaFlare
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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