UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Shields

2,102

CageRank

WINNER
Shields

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
62% chance Shields
WILL WIN

2,188

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jake Shields
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Demian Maia
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Shields on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jake
Shields
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Shields Maia
Significant Strikes58
Shields's good striking offense is matched by Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Shields's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shields is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Shields has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Shields has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shields’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Shields
Significant Strikes48
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Shields's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Maia's excellent takedown offense is matched by Shields's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Shields 8.6
fighter Maia 8.3
Great striking by Shields
35 strikes Oct 09, 2013 vs Maia
73 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Henderson
17 strikes Jun 06, 2009 vs Lawler

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Shields 9.1
fighter Maia 9.7
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Shields 6.7
fighter Maia 7.2
Great knockouts by Maia
Round 1 Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 May 19, 2007 vs Stout
Round 1 Sep 21, 2001 vs Sosa

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Shields 8.0
fighter Maia 8.1
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Shields 8.3
fighter Maia 8.5
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 9, 2013UFC Fight Night 29
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XDEC
2,1582,206
2,1152,249
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Shields
legend Maia
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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