UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Quarry

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
76% chance Maia
WILL WIN

1,902

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 7.5 Around 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.0 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 39 years vs 44 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Nate Quarry
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Quarry’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Quarry
Significant Strikes56
Maia's average striking offense is matched by Quarry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate Quarry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Quarry on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Quarry
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Quarry Maia
Significant Strikes64
Quarry's good striking offense is matched by Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Quarry's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Quarry has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Quarry is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Quarry is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Maia 8.3
fighter Quarry 8.8
Great striking by Quarry
53 strikes Sep 16, 2009 vs Credeur
16 strikes Apr 18, 2009 vs MacDonald
84 strikes Apr 19, 2008 vs Starnes

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Maia 9.7
fighter Quarry 7.5
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Quarry 8.2
Great knockouts by Quarry
Round 1 Apr 18, 2009 vs MacDonald
Round 1 Aug 06, 2005 vs Sell
Round 1 Apr 09, 2005 vs Sincaid

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Quarry 7.0
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Quarry 8.3
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 15, 2008UFC 91
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
R2 SUBX
1,9901,885
2,0251,849
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Quarry
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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