UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Grove

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
82% chance Maia
WILL WIN

1,839

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 7.5 More than 30% better at avoiding being taken down
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 7.7 More than 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Kendall Grove
Significantly longer reach 201 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 198 cm vs 183 cm Around 10% taller
Younger 35 years vs 40 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grove’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Grove
Significant Strikes51
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Grove's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns7
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate Grove's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Grove on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kendall
Grove
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Grove Maia
Significant Strikes39
Grove's average striking offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Grove's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grove is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Grove is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grove is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Maia 8.3
fighter Grove 8.0
Great striking by Maia
12 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
24 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
6 strikes Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Maia 9.7
fighter Grove 7.7
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Grove 7.2
Great knockouts by Grove
Round 1 Jun 29, 2013 vs Mitchell
Round 2 Nov 03, 2012 vs Gandulla
Round 1 Mar 07, 2009 vs Day

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Grove 7.5
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Grove 7.9
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 4, 2010TUF 12 Finale
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 SUBX
2,0731,865
2,0971,842
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Grove
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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