UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Machado

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
85% chance Maia
WILL WIN

1,800

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.1 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.2 vs 7.0 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly younger 39 years vs 41 years Around 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Gustavo Machado
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machado’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Machado on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gustavo
Machado
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Machado is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Machado is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Machado is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Machado 7.0
Great knockouts by Maia
Round 1 Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 May 19, 2007 vs Stout
Round 1 Sep 21, 2001 vs Sosa

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Machado 7.1
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Machado 7.4
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
XDEC
1,7191,775
1,7771,717
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Machado
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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