UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Woodley

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
52% chance Maia
WILL WIN

2,090

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
A lot taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Tyron Woodley
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.2 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Woodley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Woodley
Significant Strikes43
Maia's average striking offense won't be a factor against Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Maia's excellent takedown offense is matched by Woodley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Woodley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tyron
Woodley
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Woodley Maia
Significant Strikes67
Woodley's good striking offense is matched by Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Woodley's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Woodley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Woodley is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Woodley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Maia 8.3
fighter Woodley 8.9
Great striking by Woodley
22 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
15 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
20 strikes Jul 30, 2011 vs Daley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Maia 9.7
fighter Woodley 8.4
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Woodley 8.5
Great knockouts by Woodley
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
Round 1 Oct 09, 2010 vs Galvao

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Woodley 7.7
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Woodley 8.9
Fast finishes by Woodley
278 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Koscheck
36 seconds Feb 02, 2013 vs Hieron
172 seconds Nov 20, 2009 vs Bears
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Woodley
Read More
Maia vs Nurmagomedov
Fantasy Cage Match
Woodley vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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