UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Chlewicki

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
82% chance Maia
WILL WIN

1,840

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.4 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much taller 183 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Lukasz Chlewicki
Heavier hands 7.4 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chlewicki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Chlewicki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lukasz
Chlewicki
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chlewicki is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Chlewicki is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Chlewicki has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Chlewicki 7.4
Great knockouts by Chlewicki
Round 1 Apr 20, 2013 vs Kozmer
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Baranauskas
Round 2 Oct 15, 2005 vs Lungrik

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Chlewicki 6.4
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Chlewicki 7.5
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,5501,701
1,6201,631
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Chlewicki
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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