UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Maia vs Usman

2,102

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
90% chance Maia
WILL WIN

1,722

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 7.9 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 7.8 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Kamaru Usman
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.2 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly younger 31 years vs 40 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Usman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Usman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kamaru
Usman
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Usman has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Usman is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Usman is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Usman 8.8
Great knockouts by Usman
Round 1 Jan 31, 2014 vs Rodriguez
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Abdullah
Round 2 Nov 30, 2012 vs Glover

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Usman 6.8
Great submissions by Maia
Round 1 Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
Round 1 Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Apr 19, 2008 vs Herman

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Usman 7.8
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR5 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Usman
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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