UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Camozzi vs Souza

1,871

CageRank

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
90% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 7.2 Around 30% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 7.4 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.0 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Chris Camozzi
A lot taller 191 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 30 years vs 37 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 192 cm vs 187 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 184 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Camozzi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 8:45, how much damage will he do? Souza Camozzi
Significant Strikes45
Souza's good striking offense may be a factor against Camozzi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:45
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Camozzi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:45
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Camozzi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Camozzi
In 8:45, how much damage will he do? Camozzi Souza
Significant Strikes26
Camozzi's good striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 79 Significant Strikes in 8:45
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Camozzi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:45
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Camozzi is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Camozzi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Camozzi is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Camozzi 8.7
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Camozzi 7.2
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Camozzi 7.0
Great knockouts by Souza
Round 1 May 14, 2016 vs Belfort
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Brunson

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Camozzi 7.4
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Camozzi 7.3
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 18, 2015UFC on Fox 15
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XX
00
00
May 18, 2013UFC on FX 8
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR1 SUB
2,0052,118
1,9712,153
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Camozzi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Souza by Round 1 submission... AGAIN.
comments powered by Disqus