UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Camozzi vs Smith

1,871

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Camozzi

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
51% chance Camozzi
WILL WIN

1,866

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Chris Camozzi
Much stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Advantages for Trevor Smith
Much stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.2 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Camozzi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Camozzi
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Camozzi Smith
Significant Strikes83
Camozzi's good striking offense may be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Camozzi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Smith's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Camozzi is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Camozzi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Camozzi has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Camozzi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Trevor
Smith
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Smith Camozzi
Significant Strikes75
Smith's good striking offense may be a factor against Camozzi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Smith's average takedown offense is matched by Camozzi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Smith has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Smith has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Camozzi 8.7
fighter Smith 8.7
Great striking by Camozzi
64 strikes Mar 16, 2013 vs Ring
97 strikes Oct 13, 2012 vs Cane
34 strikes Jun 22, 2012 vs Catone

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Camozzi 7.2
fighter Smith 8.3
Great takedowns by Smith
1 takedown Jan 15, 2014 vs Houston

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Camozzi 7.0
fighter Smith 6.5
Great knockouts by Camozzi
Round 3 Jun 22, 2012 vs Catone
Round 1 Nov 10, 2007 vs Liles
Round 2 Oct 26, 2007 vs Barker

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Camozzi 7.4
fighter Smith 8.2
Great submissions by Smith
Round 1 Jun 16, 2012 vs Moreno
Round 1 Nov 18, 2011 vs Cook
Round 2 Jun 24, 2011 vs Berry

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Camozzi 7.3
fighter Smith 8.1
Fast finishes by Smith
261 seconds Jun 16, 2012 vs Moreno
268 seconds Nov 18, 2011 vs Cook
142 seconds Jul 31, 2010 vs Kovacs
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Camozzi
legend Smith
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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